Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 132.063405 152.976948 177.470935 208.626648 247.712679 295.831104 3.606876e+02
2025-03-16 101.166327 125.756764 157.604197 203.055189 268.345272 362.352842 5.154597e+02
2025-03-23 88.569322 115.385153 152.577674 210.220881 301.996720 452.115974 7.415038e+02
2025-03-30 76.032458 102.141903 140.045831 202.232345 308.855356 501.020446 9.263911e+02
2025-04-06 69.040039 95.390267 135.297014 204.419679 331.929933 586.007063 1.241874e+03
2025-04-13 62.891784 88.881075 129.620673 203.454552 348.522628 664.990563 1.613445e+03
2025-04-20 59.988835 86.886686 130.678401 214.196145 390.784635 821.032486 2.392958e+03
2025-04-27 58.435644 86.762861 134.703068 231.157871 452.049606 1063.237734 3.942275e+03
2025-05-04 54.394407 82.017095 129.915643 229.651948 470.454977 1198.467997 5.375784e+03
2025-05-11 51.425351 78.754619 127.330110 232.129838 499.749751 1392.347127 7.922104e+03
2025-05-18 48.136149 74.600034 122.542811 228.894025 512.974401 1541.702044 1.098873e+04
2025-05-25 46.155200 72.563081 121.524033 233.918615 551.679264 1834.308184 1.843091e+04
2025-06-01 43.638225 69.633611 119.009237 236.560204 590.185290 2208.302433 3.600402e+04
2025-06-08 40.450915 65.225712 113.095240 230.083447 598.498701 2456.832257 6.396836e+04
2025-06-15 38.955656 63.814478 113.114145 238.577493 663.527870 3191.183308 2.507156e+05
2025-06-22 36.161419 59.661202 106.820941 229.101526 657.788219 3427.403140 6.158184e+05
2025-06-29 34.584305 57.724981 105.072250 231.693935 702.234222 4225.559728 1.385312e+07
2025-07-06 32.890118 55.408518 102.205664 230.549851 731.295541 5008.330795 NaN
2025-07-13 32.263913 55.158943 103.937447 243.302098 833.235452 7240.003682 NaN
2025-07-20 32.071522 55.763707 107.717194 263.521433 992.977790 12114.351151 NaN
2025-07-27 30.643855 53.681218 104.852683 261.722284 1031.780801 15081.920012 NaN
2025-08-03 29.577780 52.277204 103.480400 264.683064 1103.946736 20678.114809 NaN
2025-08-10 28.259182 50.238699 100.322593 260.817073 1130.504576 25510.877547 NaN